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  1. Jul 28, 2016 · For example, there have been no polls of Pennsylvania over the past two weeks, during which time Clinton’s lead has evaporated in national polls (and often also in polls of other states, where ...

  2. Nov 22, 2022 · Download. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown.

  3. Jul 5, 2016 · The timing meant our forecasts were often half a day behind as new polls came in. So this year, we’ve switched over to running model updates as new data becomes available, sometimes several ...

  4. 2 days ago · The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED May 29, 2024, at 4:52 PM ... Democratic primary, Ohio, 2024. March 6-11. 373: LV: March ...

  5. Nov 3, 2020 · And it does rain there. (Downtown L.A. has about 36 rainy days per year, or about a 1-in-10 shot of a rainy day.) According to our final presidential forecast, Pennsylvania is the most likely tipping-point state, and a lot of Biden’s chances in the Electoral College hinge on what happens in the Keystone State.

  6. Nov 7, 2016 · Group 5: The old guard. Ohio (Trump is a 65 percent favorite; 7 percent chance of tipping election) Iowa (Trump is a 73 percent favorite; 1 percent chance of tipping election) Obama was leading in ...

  7. 1 day ago · The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED May 29, 2024, at 4:52 PM. Latest Polls.