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  1. Nov 8, 2022 · Our forecast, which has trended toward Republicans in the final few weeks of the campaign, gives them an 80 percent chance of holding between 48 and 54 seats after this election. Our forecast ...

  2. 2 days ago · The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED May 25, 2024, at 9:28 AM ... U.S. Senate, Nevada, 2024, Republican primary.

  3. Jun 18, 2020 · Biden currently leads Trump 50.5 percent to 41.3 percent in national polls, according to our average — a 9.2-point lead. 1. Biden also leads Trump in swing states such as Michigan, Wisconsin and ...

  4. Nov 22, 2022 · Download the data. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is ...

  5. 3 days ago · The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED May 25, 2024, at 9:28 AM. Latest Polls.

  6. Nov 11, 2020 · The final Gallup poll missed by 5.6 percentage points on average between 1936 and 1968. That includes a somewhat infamous 9-point miss in 1948, when Thomas Dewey didn’t actually defeat Harry ...

  7. 2 days ago · The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED May 25, 2024, at 9:28 AM ... U.S. Senate, Pennsylvania, 2024, General election ...

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