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  1. Oct 30, 2020 · And in 2016, Silver’s FiveThirtyEight gave Donald Trump a 29 percent chance of victory, and Silver was rare among analysts in emphasizing that meant Trump really could win. So I asked Silver to ...

  2. Oct 21, 2020 · The 2020 election might feel like either a dream or a nightmare, depending on who you’re rooting for. ... Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. ... (169) Electoral ...

  3. Nov 13, 2020 · FiveThirtyEight founder and editor-in-chief Nate Silver has a message: while the polls in 2020 did underestimate Republican support, they weren't horrendously wrong in the grand scheme of things ...

  4. Nov 20, 2023 · Nate Silver has said that recent polling shows President Joe Biden 's age is a big problem for voters. The latest national NBC News poll found Biden's approval rating has plummeted to the lowest ...

  5. Apr 25, 2019 · PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES. Joe Biden has officially entered the 2020 presidential race. His case to win the 2020 Democratic nomination is fairly simple: As Barack Obama ...

  6. 3 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date.

  7. Mar 20, 2019 · Trump’s approval rating is at 40 percent, but in some head-to-head polls he is in the high 40s — 47 to 49. That 8-point (or so) difference, I think, is people who are anti-Democratic and will ...

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