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  1. Jan 14, 2016 · For instance, former U.S. president George W. Bush ranked in the top 10 each year from 2002 to 2005. His successor, Barack Obama, has among the most-edited Wikipedia entries ever. A new pope is ...

  2. Mar 25, 2021 · A poll’s weight is calculated as. .93^ (2020-year) Thus, for example, a poll conducted in 2020 will get full weight, a poll conducted in 2012 will get a weight of 0.56, and one from 1998 will ...

  3. May 30, 2014 · Not surprisingly, Bush isn’t the only political figure to attract factual controversy. The Wikipedia entry on Barack Obama has been revised 23,514 times — just slightly ahead of Adolf Hitler ...

  4. Sep 28, 2016 · What Could The Polls Be Missing? In this week’s politics chat, we weighed reasons the polls could be underestimating Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump. The transcript below has been lightly edited ...

  5. Aug 30, 2023 · Aug. 30, 2023, at 6:00 AM. Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. maya ( Maya Sweedler, senior editor): The first Republican debate last ...

  6. 2 days ago · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls.

  7. Nate Cohn decided to run four polls in swing states to test the waters for the election. The results came back Even, D+1, D+6, and D+14. The headline for the article was "Polls In Swing Districs Show GOP's Strength In Midterms". They eventually changed the headline but the article still described a likely red wave.

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