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  1. 1 hour ago · The FiveThirtyEight national polling average is quite close — Biden trails by just 2.3 points. But national polls are meaningless in an election that will likely be decided in a small universe ...

  2. 3 hours ago · That’s the polling takeaway 11 days after Biden’s disastrous debate performance, as a handful of Democrats have called for the president to exit the race and a defiant Biden insists he’s ...

  3. 1 day ago · Campaign poll. The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of ...

  4. 5 hours ago · A fresh poll by Bloomberg/Morning Consult showed Biden narrowing Trump’s post-debate lead in the swing states, with only a 2% difference between the seven states. In Michigan and Wisconsin, the ...

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  5. 1 day ago · The USA Today poll is just the latest of several showing Trump’s chances improving significantly following Biden’s shaky debate performance. One of the more surprising metrics was the public ...

  6. 7 hours ago · 34.0%. Biden. +18 Trump. 1. The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the ...

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  8. 5 hours ago · For one thing, the polls are getting worse by the day. Trump's narrow lead has ballooned in polling averages since the debate, standing now at 2.2 points according to 538 and nearly 5 points at ...

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