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  1. 2 hours ago · Harris would have to win all Democratic-leaning states, including Maine, plus three northern battlegrounds, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, for Nebraska's 2nd to make the difference.

  2. 7 hours ago · Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally on September 24, 2024 in Savannah, Georgia. Trump is currently appealing his $489 million fraud judgment in New York.

  3. 21 hours ago · This is the landing page for the 2024 Silver Bulletin presidential election forecast. It will always contain the most recent data from the model. 1. The model is the direct descendant of the f/k/a FiveThirtyEight election forecast 2 and the methodology is largely the same, other than removing COVID-19 provisions introduced for 2020.

  4. 21 hours ago · e. The 2024 United States presidential election will be the 60th quadrennial presidential election, set to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. [1] Voters in each state and the District of Columbia will choose electors to the Electoral College, who will then elect a president and vice president for a term of four years.

    • California
    • Democratic
    • Kamala Harris
    • Tim Walz
  5. 21 hours ago · The probability of each outcome below, according to our simulations. Harris wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 22 out of 100. Trump wins an Electoral College landslide (350+ electoral votes) 5 out of 100. Harris wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. 35 out of 100.

    • G. Elliott Morris
  6. 21 hours ago · As of the 2020 election, when the president was running for re-election and faced no serious contest for their party's nomination, thus turning key 2 true, the president won the popular vote on 18 of 21 occasions, losing the Electoral College in 1888, with the exceptions being in 1932, 1992 and 2020.

  7. 21 hours ago · Hutchinson —. Pence —. Ramaswamy —. Scott —. Suarez —. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

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