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J. Stephen Morrison, PhD, is a senior vice president at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and directs its Global Health Policy Center. Through several high-level commissions, he has shaped decisions in Congress and the administration on HIV/AIDS, reproductive health and gender equality, and health security, including ...
J. Stephen Morrison is a senior vice president at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and directs its Global Health Policy Center.
- smorrison@csis.org
- Practitioner Senior Fellow
George Stephen Morrison was a US Navy rear admiral and naval aviator who commanded the USS Bon Homme Richard during the Vietnam War. He was the father of Jim Morrison, the lead singer of The Doors.
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- What Are The Major Drivers That Inform The Three Scenarios?
- Possible Scenarios
- The Time to Act Is Now
There are several unknowns that will influence the trajectory of the pandemic, and these major drivers fall into three categories: the virus itself, government tools, and technology. All are to varying degrees shrouded in uncertainty, both scientific and political.
Scenario 1: Best Case – Rapid Recovery
In the next 2-3-month period, the United States implements highly aggressive national social distancing measures and the nationally coordinated delivery of key medical supplies to major hot spots. Testing is widely expanded, allowing for more targeted, localized responses and the gradual easing of extreme social distancing throughout the country following the initial 2-3-month period of intense restrictions. Major urban centers do not become wildfires. Seasonality provides a reprieve in the s...
Scenario 2: Mixed Case – Roller Coaster
In the spring of 2020, six weeks of a fragmented, chaotic federal response—no national lockdown, no national coordination of critical medical supplies, and no national testing system—squanders valuable time, opening the way for multiple wildfire outbreaks in urban centers throughout the country (e.g., Detroit, New Orleans, Chicago, Miami, Boston, Washington D.C., Dallas, and Atlanta). Delayed implementation combined with the premature relaxation of social distancing measures to reignite outbr...
Scenario 3: Worst Case – Decline and Catastrophe
Social distancing measures are implemented and enforced in a fragmented, ineffectual manner across the United States. The federal government fails altogether to deploy a national testing and contact tracing system and to coordinate the delivery of critical medical supplies to the urban hot spots. Chronic shortages of PPE persist as the pandemic worsens globally, causing demand to surge while supply remains low. This leads to exceptionally high, sustained infection and death rates among health...
Pandemics change history by transforming populations, states, societies, economies, norms, and governing structures. Political choices matter profoundly in determining outcomes. We know what is needed: Early, fast, aggressive action. A shutdown that is as universal as possible for four to eight weeks. A centralized command structure that rationaliz...
Morrison is a senior vice president at CSIS and a global health policy expert. He will conduct seminars, engage with faculty and students, and contribute to the Miller Center website and publications as the James R. Schlesinger Distinguished Professor at UVA.
Dec 12, 2021 · Watch a video clip of Stephen Morrison, a global health policy expert, discussing the challenges and progress of COVID-19 vaccination around the world. He answers questions from the host and callers about the COVAX program, the Omicron variant, and the U.S. role.
- 40 min
- 310
May 14, 2024 · Christopher Murray and Angela Apeagyei from the Institute for Health Metics and Evaluation joined J. Stephen Morrison to discuss their Financing Global Health 2023 Report.