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The 2025 Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.
This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 45th Canadian federal election.
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When is the 45th Canadian federal election?
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The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal.
If the 45th Canadian federal election were to be held today, the Conservatives would be heavily favoured to win a plurality of seats and could comfortably win a majority. The Liberals have been on a steady decline for months, while every other party has stagnated in the polls.
See full results and maps from Canada’s federal election. We are tracking battleground ridings across Canada that will make or break the parties’ chances of forming the next government.
Follow the live results as they come in, with breakdowns from your riding and races across the country.
The 45th Canadian federal election will take place on or before October 20, 2025, to elect members of the House of Commons to the 45th Canadian Parliament.