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  1. Designed by Logan Phillips. The RacetotheWH Senate Forecast predicts the outcome of every Senate race in 2024 using a data-driven model that factors in the latest polling, historic trends, candidate quality, and fundraising. Every day, we simulate the election 50,000 times to get the best projection we can on how likely each party is to win the ...

  2. 2024 Senate Election Forecasts. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2024 Senate forecast.

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  4. May 17, 2024 · 2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast. As of May 17, 2024. The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents.

  5. Senate Seats Forecast. 33 of the 100 U.S. Senate seats will be contested in regular elections this November, along with a special election in Nebraska. Like the last Class 1 Senate cycle in 2018, Republicans are considered to have a fundamental advantage, as Democrats are defending 23 of the 33 seats. Among these, three are in states that ...

  6. Reach a majority to predict which party controls the Senate. Design your 2024 election forecast by assigning 34 contested seats as 'safe,' 'likely,' 'lean,' or 'toss-up.' Decision Desk HQ...

  7. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, and 34 of the 100 seats are up for election. Thirty-three of those seats are up for regular election, and one [1] is up for a special election .

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