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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is a 2007 book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who is a former options trader. The book focuses on the extreme impact of rare and unpredictable outlier events—and the human tendency to find simplistic explanations for these events, retrospectively.
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- 2007
May 11, 2010 · In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.
- 2007
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- 4.4 out of 5 stars6,249
Apr 17, 2007 · A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was.
- (112.7K)
- Hardcover
Apr 17, 2007 · Bestselling author Nassim Nicholas Taleb continues his exploration of randomness in his fascinating new book, The Black Swan, in which he examines the influence of highly improbable and unpredictable events that have massive impact.
- Random House
- $17.91
- 4.4 out of 5 stars6,250
Jan 1, 2008 · The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable by Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a thought-provoking and fascinating book that challenges readers to think differently about the role of randomness and uncertainty in our lives.
May 11, 2010 · A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them.
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb
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Jul 10, 2019 · Download or stream the 2007 book by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who argues that black swans are the main drivers of history and life. A black swan is an unpredictable, high-impact event that we rationalize after the fact.
