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Are you more likely to die on your birthday?
What percentage of people die on their birthday?
How do you calculate Deathday & birthday probabilities?
That leads to probability of birth and death on the same day equal $356\cdot p^2 + (p/4)^2= 0.002736445 > 0.00273224=\frac1{366}$ which is the minimum possible value (with 366 days). With a bit more generality, let $p_i, i=1, \dotsc, n$ be the birthday probabilities, and $q_i, i=1,\dotsc,n$ the deathday probabilities, for a year with $n$ days.
- Sorry, a bit new here so please excuse me if this doesn't help too much. The US Social Security Administration keeps records of births and deaths a...
- We can be even more precise than @Mike Shi's data: the most dangerous of all birthdays is the very first one . The 1st day mortality rates reporte...
- Here's an argument why the probability of death on the birthday may be higher than on other days: Birthdays are emotionally charged days. More over...
- The probability that a newborn dies within a year can be found in the life tables. For example, you can check out the periodic life tables and look...
- In addition to the other excellent answers, but there is a point none of them discussed: Birthdays are not uniformly distributed over the year, and...
- 1 out of 365 would be the correct odds, because you are guaranteed to die on one day out of a 365 day year... Therefore odds are 1 out of 365.
Jun 29, 2012 · By Richard Knight. BBC News. A study by Swiss researchers has generated a startling statistic - you are 14% more likely to die on your birthday than on any other day of the year. But why should...
Jun 12, 2012 · A new study suggests that men and women are 14 percent more likely to die on their birthday than any other day of the year. This effect was strongest in people aged 60 and older, who were up to...
Aug 25, 2021 · By the time a person reaches the ripe old age of 90, it's all the way down to 4.72%. But here's the thing: Those between 20 and 29 are a whopping 25.39% more likely to die on their birthday, and when those birthdays fell on a weekend, that goes all the way up to 48.3%. So, what's going on here?
Sep 5, 2018 · Sep 5, 2018, 5:31 AM PDT. You're statistically more likely to die on your birthday. Lolostock / Shutterstock. You either love your birthday or hate it because it reminds you you're getting...
Apr 9, 2024 · A 2012 study of Swiss mortality statistics, for example, found that the overall “death excess” on the day of birth was 13.8%, or, in layperson’s terms, “birthdays end lethally more frequently...
Among 25 million Americans who died between 1998 and 2011, 6.7% more people than expected die on their birthday, and the effect was most pronounced at weekends and among the young – among 20 to 29 year olds, the excess was over 25%. [6]
