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The map below will link to results, by state, for the 2018 midterm elections. Select a state to view results for its U.S. House districts, as well as those for U.S. Senate and gubernatorial races, where applicable. Alternately, you can look at the results by office type.
In the 2018 general election, an average of 92 percent of incumbents nationwide won their re-election bids. This percentage includes races in which incumbents ran unopposed. Incumbents had the lowest win rates in Texas, holding their seats in 81 percent of races.
- Main Results
- Quantile Regressions
- Robustness Checks
While Fig. 3 is suggestive, a more careful analysis is called for in order to eliminate the effects of other potentially confounding factors. To that end, Eq. (2) is estimated using several methodologies. In order to simplify the interpretation of the results, the dependent variable, mask indexi, has been standardized to mean zero with a standard d...
As was noted earlier, Fig. 3 suggests the presence of heteroscedasticity. This is, in fact, confirmed with a post-estimation test of Eq. (2).Footnote 27 As such, robust standard errors that are clustered at the state level are reported in Table 2, column (1). Another approach is to explore the conditional distribution of the dependent variable usin...
In order to consider the resiliency of the empirical results reported above five robustness checks are explored, the results appear in Table 3. The first robustness check shown in column (1) re-estimates the OLS regression, but now includes population weights.Footnote 28 The R-squared is noticeably larger than that of the OLS value shown in Table 2...
- Leo H. Kahane
- lkahane@providence.edu
- 2021
The House of Representatives has 435 voting members and six non-voting members, with the number of representatives determined by state population. 218 seats are need for control of the House of...
May 4, 2021 · The latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll show the more likely you are to wear a mask, the more likely it is you'll support presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden.
Democrats had a net gain of 308 seats in the 87 state legislative chambers that held regularly-scheduled elections on November 6, 2018. Republicans lost 294 seats in the elections, and third-party and independent candidates lost 14 seats. Democrats gained 65 state senate seats.
3 days ago · U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2018, General election. Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.
