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  1. Sep 5, 2019 · With three in ten votes still up for grabs, this data note examines the demographics of swing voters: those who either report that they are undecided about their vote in 2020 or are...

    • Ashley Kirzinger
  2. Catalist, a Democratic data firm, recently found that the shifts in vote margin from 2012 to 2016 in many swing states were predominantly driven by changes in vote choice rather than changes...

  3. Nov 4, 2020 · In a tight election, every electoral vote counts, and Nebraska has five up for grabs. Recent polls have favored Mr. Biden in the Second District, which includes Omaha and many of its suburbs.

    • Kay Nolan
  4. Jun 16, 2023 · Four of them—Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin—have Senate seats up for election this year as well. Tight margins in races also indicate that a state could have been won by either party. In 2020, seven states were won by a margin of three percentage points or less.

  5. Sep 5, 2019 · Table A.2: Political Demographics of Swing Voters Total voters. Swing voters (30%) Decided voters (63%) Definitely Trump voters (29%) Definitely Democratic voters (34%) Party Identification

  6. Mar 5, 2024 · Thus, sparsely populated Alaska has just three electoral college votes, while California has 54. There are 538 electoral votes up for grabs, with 270 needed to win.

  7. Dec 8, 2020 · Not every battleground state saw movement in 2020, though. Iowa, Nevada and Ohio ended up with roughly the same margin as in 2016, despite polls showing a close race in both Iowa and Ohio. Some...

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