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Apr 28, 2024 · FiveThirtyEight has at long last released their official polling averages for the 2024 presidential election. Let’s fill out a 2024 Electoral College map between President Biden and former ...
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Jul 19, 2022 · UPDATED Jul. 19, 2022, at 3:50 PM. What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State. An updating tracker of proposed congressional maps — and whether they might benefit Democrats or Republicans in...
Jul 5, 2022 · July 5, 2022, 1:34 PM ET. FiveThirtyEight has recently published its 2022 election forecasts for Senate, House, and governor. We've created interactive maps for each. You can use these as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 predictions. For more background, see the 'Model Talk' podcast ( watch or listen) from June 30.
4 days ago · Updated every two hours, this is an electoral map projection derived from the FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast . Use the timeline feature to view the map as it looked at the end of each day.
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Nov 3, 2020 · Candidates can't be selected if they start off with less than a 1.5% chance of winning that state. Winner picked. more likely trump. toss-up. more likely biden. When you choose the winner in one place, our model updates its projections everywhere else. 10 in 100. chance of winning. 189.5.