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1. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › president-generalPresident: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › president-general

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   2 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

2. Videos

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     How Worried Should Democrats Be About The Polls? | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast

     Mar 18, 2024

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     2:40

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     3 potential sources of polling error in the 2024 election | 538 Politics Podcast

     Sep 7, 2024

     10.2K Views

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     52:52

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     538's New Polling Averages Show Close Presidential Race | FiveThirtyEight

     Apr 25, 2024

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3. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecastWho Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2024-election-forecast

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   1 day ago · Polls taken in the immediate aftermath of this week’s debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump showed that by a 23-point margin, debate-watchers thought Harris bested Trump in the matchup.The first batch of post-debate polls among the broader public confirm this trend, with our forecast margin in the national popular vote moving 0.8 percentage points in ...

   • Author: G. Elliott Morris

4. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › presidentNational : President: general election : 2024 Polls ...

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › president

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   1 day ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

5. www.nytimes.com › elections › polls-presidentElection 2024 Polls: Harris vs. Trump - The New York Times

   www.nytimes.com › elections › polls-president

   8 hours ago · A few post-debate national polls have shown signs of a Harris bounce. Our new poll is full of evidence that our respondents thought Harris did well in the debate — and that Trump did poorly ...

6. www.nbcnews.com › politics › 2024-electionPoll: Newly popular Kamala Harris builds momentum ... - NBC News

   www.nbcnews.com › politics › 2024-election

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   1 day ago · With just over six weeks until Election Day, the poll finds Harris with a 5-point lead over former President Donald Trump among registered voters, 49% to 44%. While that result is within the ...

7. abcnews.go.com › 538538 — Election Polls, Politics, and Analysis - ABC News

   abcnews.go.com › 538

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   538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.

8. People also ask

   Who edited the polls on FiveThirtyEight?

   • Editing by Sarah Frostenson, Nathaniel Rakich, Kaleigh Rogers and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Copy editing by Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Alex Kimball, Jennifer Mason, Andrew Mangan, Maya Sweedler and Curtis Yee. The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.

   President: general election Polls | FiveThirtyEight

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/

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   How accurate are FiveThirtyEight's polling averages?

   • FiveThirtyEight’s polling averages are basically a blend of these two techniques, which is slightly more accurate than using either method on its own. For most of the race, our average primarily relies on the averaging method, which is usually the more conservative of the two.

   Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 ... - FiveThirtyE…

   fivethirtyeight.com/features/our-new-polling-averages-show-biden-leads-trump-by-9-points-nationally/

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   How does 538 predict the 2024 presidential election?

   • 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election. Trump wins 40 times out of 100. There is a less than 1-in-100 chance of no Electoral College winner. What are the latest national polls influencing the forecast?

   Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

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   What is 538's forecast based on?

   • 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign “fundamentals,” such as economic conditions, state partisanship and incumbency. It’s not meant to “call” a winner, but rather to give you a sense of how likely each candidate is to win. Check out our methodology to learn exactly how we calculate these probabilities.

   Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election?

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

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9. fivethirtyeight.com › features › our-new-pollingOur New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads ... - FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com › features › our-new-polling

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   Jun 18, 2020 · Biden currently leads Trump 50.5 percent to 41.3 percent in national polls, according to our average — a 9.2-point lead. 1.