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The Flaw of Averages. Interactive Simulations by Chapter. To connect the seat of your intellect to the seat of your pants. The Savage & Hubbard Top Ten List of Lame Excuses for Not Quantifying Uncertainty.
The Flaw of Averages. Consider the case of the statistician who drowns while fording a river that he calculates is, on average, three feet deep. If he were alive to tell the tale, he would...
Mar 26, 2012 · In The Flaw of Averages, Sam Savage known for his creative exposition of difficult subjects describes common avoidable mistakes in assessing risk in the face of uncertainty. He explains why plans based on average assumptions are wrong, on average, in areas as diverse as finance, healthcare, accounting, the war on terror, and climate change ...
The Flaw of Averages Trilogy: Behind Schedule, Below Projection, and Beyond Budget.
Flaw of Averages - Interactive Simulations by Chapter. Overview Chapter 1 Chapter 5 Chapter 8 Chapter 9 Chapter 10 ...
In The Flaw of Averages, Sam Savageknown for his creative exposition of difficult subjects describes common avoidable mistakes in assessing risk in the face of uncertainty. Along the way, he...
Jul 11, 2017 · He argues that the myth of an “average” person, around which today’s educational systems are built, stunts people’s intellectual growth and damages their lives.
