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3 days ago · 538 is excited to unveil our forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Our forecast starts out with a slight lead for Harris, reflecting her current edge in...
2 days ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
6 days ago · Who’s Ahead in National Presidential Polls? General election polling average. Do Voters Want Republicans Or Democrats In Congress? Generic ballot polling average. Do Americans Have A Favorable...
3 days ago · An interactive electoral map derived from 538's probabilistic model for the 2024 presidential election.
2 days ago · Z-scores for the six economic indicators used in our 2024 presidential election forecast and how they are projected to change. A score of zero indicates an average economy, positive values are better than average, and negative values are worse than average. Table with 3 columns and 7 rows.
1 day ago · Our polling averages track the latest trends in the presidential race, using data from national and battleground state polls.
3 days ago · From 75 days out — around when we relaunched our 2024 forecast — to Election Day, the expected change in margin is closer to 6 points. And by mid-October, there are about 3 points of change ...
Aug 14, 2023 · 2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head.
3 days ago · The 538 probabilistic forecast model relaunched Friday, updated to reflect a Harris vs. Trump general election. "538 is excited to unveil our forecast for Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. Our forecast starts out with a slight lead for Harris, reflecting her current edge in polls but uncertainty about how the rest ...
3 days ago · Mr Trump’s extraordinary campaign follows his no less remarkable term as America’s 45th president, which concluded shortly after his supporters staged a violent attack on the Capitol.
