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  1. 3 days ago · Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe contributed research. Editing by Sarah...

  2. 2 days ago · President: general election, 2024. AVG. May 25-28. 1,547. RV. YouGov. The Economist. Biden.

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  4. FiveThirtyEight applied two separate models to forecast the 2016 presidential primary elections – polls-only and polls-plus models. The polls-only model relied only on polls from a particular state, while the polls-plus model was based on state polls, national polls and endorsements.

  5. Jan 9, 2022 · A: The latest polls page includes all polls publicly released within two years of an election, beginning with the 2018 election cycle. If we don’t have any polls for a particular race, that ...

  6. 2 days ago · Polling averages by G. Elliott Morris. Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, Andrea Jones-Rooy, Irena Li, Dhrumil Mehta, Mary Radcliffe, Nathaniel Rakich, Derek Shan, Geoffrey Skelley and Julia Wolfe...

  7. Mar 10, 2023 · Our research suggests that even if all polls were conducted on Election Day itself (i.e., no temporal error) and took an infinite sample size (i.e., no sampling error), the average poll would ...

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