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  1. Feb 23, 2023 · Why We’re Preemptively Banning A Pollster — And Not Banning Another. By Nathaniel Rakich and Mary Radcliffe. Feb. 23, 2023, at 6:00 AM. ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES....

  2. May 30, 2018 · Pollsters that are banned by FiveThirtyEight because we know or suspect that they faked their data or we are otherwise not confident in the legitimacy of their polling operation are not...

  3. Mar 25, 2021 · 6.3. 6.0. Pollsters that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not included in the averages. So as not to give a more prolific pollster too much influence over the average, polls are weighted by one ...

  4. Jan 9, 2022 · We will permanently ban any pollster found to be falsifying data or engaging in betting markets that may be directly impacted by their survey work. We reserve the...

  5. Mar 10, 2023 · Excludes pollsters that are banned by FiveThirtyEight. Polls get half-credit for “calling” an election correctly if they show a tie for the lead and one of the leading candidates wins.

    • Nathaniel Rakich
  6. Feb 22, 2024 · Show more pollsters Show fewer pollsters How this works 538’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodological transparency of each polling organization’s polls.

  7. Dec 31, 2022 · He also relied heavily on a pollster named Richard Baris, whose polling firm was given an “F” rating and banned by FiveThirtyEight. Mr. Baris consistently forecast a Republican landslide.

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