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  1. 2 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .

    • National

      When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster...

  2. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head. To view averages including 3rd party candidates, select the checkbox near the candidate names. For legacy polling, visit the Biden vs. Trump page.

  3. 2 days ago · July Aug. 30% 40% 50% Aug. 10. Trump Trump 47%. Harris Harris 48%. Nate Cohn Chief political analyst. In the first New York Times/Siena College swing state polls since she joined the presidential ...

  4. Biden vs. Trump Including Third Parties and Independents. A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Biden and Trump. The inclusion of these names can significantly influence the polling average.

  5. 3 days ago · Mr Biden’s presidency has been associated with by high inflation, big industrial-policy bills and turmoil abroad, things which Republicans will seek to pin on Ms Harris too. But she has one ...

  6. Jun 11, 2024 · Biden wins the national popular vote. 62 out of 100. Trump wins the national popular vote. 38 out of 100. Biden wins a majority of the national popular vote. 29 out of 100. Trump wins a majority of the national popular vote. 14 out of 100. Biden wins the national popular vote by 10+ percentage points.

  7. 1 day ago · This chart shows how the polling margin in Pennsylvania has changed over the course of the campaign, first for the Biden vs. Trump matchup, and now for Harris vs. Trump. R+6 R+3 Even D+3 D+6 Aug ...

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