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  1. 3 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each polls quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE.

  2. 1 day ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

  3. Jun 11, 2024 · The average swing-state poll published since July 6 has Trump leading Biden by 1 point, compared to his 2.2-point lead in national polls today. 538’s forecast is based on a combination of...

  4. Trump and Biden have about an even chance to win. See the presidential forecast. Would Kamala Harris be a stronger candidate than Biden? What the 538 forecast would say if the 2024 election were Harris versus Trump. July 04, 2024. Voters are mad as hell in the UK and France. It's one of many similarities with the U.S. election. July 03, 2024.

  5. 2 days ago · We calculate averages for polls that ask voters to choose between Biden and Trump, and for polls that include Kennedy. (Many polls do both.) Here’s a comparison of the averages, nationally...

  6. 3 days ago · Here you can find the latest polls. Explore how a hypothetical voter might cast a ballot with our interactive build-a-voter model. And if you are interested in contests elsewhere, see our British...

  7. Jun 18, 2020 · Recent polls show former Vice President Joe Biden with a solid lead over President Trump nationally, and in most swing states.

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