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  1. Jan 9, 2023 · How Our NFL Predictions Work. FiveThirtyEight has an admitted fondness for the Elo rating — a simple system that judges teams or players based on head-to-head results — and we’ve used it to...

  2. Feb 7, 2021 · FiveThirtyEight's 2020 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl.

  3. fivethirtyeight.com › newsletter › nfl-predictions-reminder-2023/01/27NFL Predictions - FiveThirtyEight

    Jan 27, 2023 · NFL Predictions. Friday, January 27, 2023. It’s another week of NFL games — and another chance to beat FiveThirtyEight at its own game. Click the button below to take your shot.

  4. Feb 13, 2022 · Our NFL forecasts are based on a simple algorithm that relies on Elo ratings, which use only a few pieces of information to rate each team and project each game. But beware: We’re asking you to...

  5. Sep 7, 2021 · To help forecast that (and all of the odd-looking records it will produce), we’ve refreshed our NFL predictions with offseason roster moves, the upcoming slate of games and a slight model tweak...

  6. Feb 15, 2023 · By Kaleigh Rogers. Filed under Pollapalooza. Feb. 9, 2023. This Obscure Super Bowl Prop Bet Will Baffle You. By Josh Hermsmeyer. Filed under Super Bowl LVII. Feb. 8, 2023. The Chiefs And Eagles...

  7. Feb 3, 2019 · FiveThirtyEight's 2018 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the Super Bowl.

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