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Jul 19, 2022 · What Redistricting Looks Like In Every State. An updating tracker of proposed congressional maps — and whether they might benefit Democrats or Republicans in the 2022 midterms and beyond. How...
- Arizona
Notably, under this map, the Republican-leaning 6th District...
- California
On Dec. 26, California’s independent citizen redistricting...
- Michigan
The map does make it likely that Republicans will gain at...
- North Carolina
On March 17, Republicans in North Carolina’s state...
- New York
The map had an efficiency gap of D+9 and created 20...
- Ohio
On Jan. 14, the Ohio Supreme Court invalidated the...
- Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania’s Democratic-majority Supreme Court stepped in...
- Virginia
After Virginia’s new bipartisan redistricting commission...
- Alabama
On Feb. 7, the U.S. Supreme Court halted a federal district...
- Arizona
- Swing States That Moved Sharply to The Right in 2016
- States That Movedjust Slightly to The Right in 2016
- Republican-Leaning States That Shifted to The Left in 2016
- Former Red States That Increasingly Vote Blue
- Some States Are Just Perennial Swing States
How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25
Take Iowa and Ohio, which went from uber-competitive states to near blowouts for President Trump in 2016. Or Maine and Michigan, which hadn’t been allthat competitive in 2008 or 2012, but lurched to the right in 2016. In other words, 2016 marked a significant departure from how these states had voted in recent years; each state swung 7 points or more to the right, the biggest swings in that election. One explanation for why these four states moved so suddenly to the right is that they each ha...
How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25
One reason why these states didn’t lurch as far to the right is that four of them3Minnesota, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.have at least one large metropolitan area that votes heavily Democratic. This offsets the rest of those states, which usually vote far more Republican. However, as was true in the first four states we looked at, there has been a slow yet noticeable move to the right in these four states over the last several elections. FiveThirtyEight’s forecast anticipates that some...
How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25
Arizona, Georgia and Texas all moved at least 4 points to the left in 2016, and it’s possible they’ll move even farther in 2020. After all, the 2018 midterm elections showed these states could elect Democrats statewide, or at least, come very close. Democrats won a U.S. Senate seat in Arizona for the first time since 1988, while Republicans only narrowly won Texas’s Senate race and Georgia’s gubernatorial contest. What explains the leftward shift in these traditionally Republican states? For...
How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25
Colorado’s population is about one-fifth Hispanic and Virginia’s is about one-fifth Black, and both are only about two-thirds white. And white voters in these states are more likely to hold at least a four-year college degree than in the other states we’ve examined. Driven by increasingly Democratic vote shares in suburban and urban areas — especially around Denver and Washington, D.C. — Colorado and Virginia have moved far enough to the left that, in an environment in which Joe Biden leads b...
How much more Republican- or Democratic-leaning a state’s popular vote was than the national popular vote in presidential elections, and how the state is forecasted to vote in 2020, as of Aug. 25
Florida is a hard state to categorize politically. It has an elderly population that usually leans toward the GOP, but it also has a large Hispanic and Black population that leans Democratic -- with the caveat that a large share of its Latino vote is Cuban American, a group that has shiftedtoward Democrats over the last decade but remains far more Republican-leaning than other groups of Latinos. North Carolina is also a swing state, even though it has a fairly consistent Republican lean. Nort...
Aug 9, 2021 · At the bottom of the national page, you’ll find a table where you can quickly look up the date by which each state is expected to finalize a new map, whether new maps have been proposed and the...
- Nathaniel Rakich
Aug 9, 2021 · Both Candidates Might Fall Short Of 270 Electoral Votes On Election Night. But How Close Might They Get? By Nathaniel Rakich. Filed under 2020 Election
Apr 4, 2024 · The starting map reflects vote preference and turnout levels from 2020, adjusted for demographic shifts since then. Use the buttons below, or scroll down the page, to explore how hypothetical...
Nov 3, 2020 · Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is of...
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Dec 8, 2020 · Below, we’ve broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. The “blue wall” went blue once again Democratic or...
