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      • There’s a concept Holden and I talk about here — worldview diversification, the practice of recognizing that we’re not always sure how we should look at the present or the future. And we should keep a number of different possibilities, some of them even outlandish, alive in our minds.
  1. Oct 5, 2021 · There’s a concept Holden and I talk about here — worldview diversification, the practice of recognizing that we’re not always sure how we should look at the present or the future.

    • The Case Against Worldview Diversification
    • The Case For Worldview Diversification
    • When and How Should One Practice Worldview Diversification?

    It seems likely that if we had perfect information and perfect insight into our own values, we’d see that some worldviews are much better guides to giving than others. For a relatively clear example, consider GiveWell’s top charities vs. our work so far on farm animal welfare: 1. GiveWell estimatesthat its top charity (Against Malaria Foundation) c...

    I think the case for worldview diversification largely hinges on a couple of key factors: Strong uncertainty about which worldviews are most reasonable. We recognize that any given worldview might turn out to look misguided if we had perfect information – but even beyond that, we believe that any given worldview might turn out to look misguided if ...

    As discussed above, the case for worldview diversification relies heavily on two factors: (a) we have high uncertainty and find multiple worldviews highly plausible; (b) there would be strongly diminishing returns if we put all our resources behind any one worldview. Some of the secondary benefits discussed in the previous section are also specific...

  2. Sep 13, 2017 · For example, last year Holden Karnofsky, executive director of the Open Philanthropy Project, discussed three key issues about which he's changed his mind — with major implications for how promising he finds certain causes. Specifically, he now finds two causes — reducing potential risks from advanced artificial intelligence and supporting ...

  3. Dec 16, 2023 · Worldview diversification is a powerful and practical antidote to arrogance. Karnofsky describes how he and his team do extensive research and analysis to develop a strong theory for how the philanthropic dollars they manage could have the maximum impact on the world.

  4. Oct 16, 2021 · Worldview diversification. When to take wild claims seriously, and when not to. The difference between believing something in the abstract and believing something “in your bones”, and the relation between the two. Salon format: Discussion: 2 hours. Optional 30-60 minute ‘after party’.

  5. Apr 29, 2024 · Setting out many ideas that remain central to how we approach cause selection and grantmaking — including worldview diversification, radical empathy, and hits-based giving. Changing his mind and leading Open Philanthropy to place substantially more weight on avoiding global catastrophic risks than we had initially.

  6. Jan 26, 2018 · In Worldview Diversification, we characterized this dilemma, gave examples, and defined a “worldview” (for our purposes) as follows: I’ll use “worldview” to refer to a set of highly debatable (and perhaps impossible to evaluate) beliefs that favor a certain kind of giving.

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