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  1. 2 days ago · Yes, Donald J. Trump does lead most polls of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. But the race is close in all three states. In our recent New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College polls ...

  2. Nov 3, 2022 · News. Home. Why the Campaign Polls Are at Odds With the Outcomes. In a handful of states where control of Congress hinges, demographics vary significantly – meaning any error or late-breaking...

    • Lauren Camera
    • Senior Writer
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  4. 2 days ago · That conclusion is consistent with the other unusual demographic patterns evident in the 2024 election. So far, in almost all polls, Biden is holding a higher share of his 2020 vote among White ...

  5. Nov 27, 2023 · One theory: Biden is blowing it — the polls are a clear warning sign that the president has unique flaws as a candidate, and another Democrat would likely be doing better. A second theory:...

    • Andrew Prokop
  6. Oct 22, 2020 · In a half-dozen states, including the battlegrounds of Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, processing can’t start until Election Day itself. Also, in 22 states (plus D.C.), mail ballots postmarked by Election Day (or in a few cases the day before) can still be counted even if they arrive days later – further lengthening the counting process.

    • Drew Desilver
  7. May 20, 2021 · Masking dramatic miscalls. Averaging the polling errors, as the task force did in conducting its analysis, is broadly revealing about the extent of those errors. But it has the effect of masking...

  8. Nov 8, 2022 · The polls will close over a seven-hour period on Tuesday, starting at 6 p.m. Eastern time in parts of Indiana and Kentucky and ending at 1 a.m. in western Alaska. Here is a guide to when the...

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