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  1. May 11, 2024 · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential...

  2. 3 days ago · 538s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.

  3. Jun 28, 2018 · President: general election, Montana, 2024. Common Sense for America (PAC) is a partisan sponsor for the Republican Party.

  4. fivethirtyeight.com › elections › pollsFiveThirtyEight

    FiveThirtyEight

  5. May 23, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

  6. Jun 8, 2021 · We got 41 percent of our toss-up calls right, along with 77 percent of our “lean” calls, 95 percent of our “likely” calls, and 100 percent (399 of 399) of our “solid” calls. Also ...

  7. Jun 28, 2018 · Download. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and...

  8. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in April 2023.

  9. 538s Galen Druke breaks down recent polling for the 2024 presidential election following former President Donald Trump’s conviction.

  10. Aug 12, 2020 · Enhancing our polling averages. At the core of the modeled estimate is FiveThirtyEights partisan lean index, which reflects how the state voted in the past two presidential elections as ...

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