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  1. 2 days ago · An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates ...

  2. Jun 28, 2018 · An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates ...

  3. Jun 28, 2018 · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .

  4. Jun 28, 2018 · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls?

  5. 1 day ago · Hutchinson —. Pence —. Ramaswamy —. Scott —. Suarez —. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.”. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here.

  6. 6 days ago · How do Americans feel about the candidates for the U.S. Senate in 2022? Find out the latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight, a trusted source of statistical analysis on polls and elections. Compare the results across states and parties, and see how they change over time.

  7. Nov 8, 2022 · * This is FiveThirtyEight’s best guess as to who the nominee will be, based on an analysis of incumbency, polls, fundraising, previous experience and endorsements. The candidate listed may change based on primary results or other factors.

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