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2 days ago · Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that...
1 day ago · See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his campaign. UPDATED Aug. 22, 2024, at 2:50 PM. Latest Polls. Check out our popular polling averages.
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
May 23, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
Jun 8, 2021 · We got 41 percent of our toss-up calls right, along with 77 percent of our “lean” calls, 95 percent of our “likely” calls, and 100 percent (399 of 399) of our “solid” calls. Also ...
Aug 12, 2020 · Enhancing our polling averages. At the core of the modeled estimate is FiveThirtyEight’s partisan lean index, which reflects how the state voted in the past two presidential elections as ...
538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. [2] Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.
4 days ago · Favorability polling average. An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
8 hours ago · Harris overtook Trump just days after her campaign was launched, and by July 24, she was leading the former President by 0.8 percent, according to FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker. Every national ...
538 uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, science and life.
