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3 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
1 day ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
3 days ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
2 days ago · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...
2 days ago · Our averages include polls collected by The New York Times and by FiveThirtyEight. The estimates adjust for a variety of factors, including the recency and sample size of a poll, whether a poll...
Mar 10, 2023 · We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998...