Search results
2 days ago · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...
3 days ago · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted...
4 days ago · An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Jun 11, 2024 · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Joe Biden’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
2 days ago · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...
4 days ago · Do Americans have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump? In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date....
Feb 22, 2024 · 538’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodological transparency of each polling organization’s polls. We define accuracy as the average adjusted...
Mar 10, 2023 · We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998...
Oct 29, 2021 · FiveThirtyEight’s polling average of the Virginia race now has McAuliffe at 47.6 percent and Youngkin at 46.1 percent. New Jersey will also host a gubernatorial race on Tuesday.
Jun 18, 2020 · Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally. But the race is closer in swing states, which could allow Trump to win the Electoral College if the race tightens. By Nate...
