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  1. 1 day ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each polls quality, sample size and recency

  2. 1 day ago · Starting Projection: FiveThirtyEight 2020 Election Forecast Change >>. Note: We have two options for watching the electoral map populate. The one on this page combines live results with a pre-election forecast. We also have a more dynamic Live Forecast that updates the probabilities for Biden and Trump as states are called.

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  4. May 16, 2024 · Despite these controversies, polls remain a highly accurate predictor of election outcomes, and FiveThirtyEight's Nathaniel Rakich found that polls correctly called 78% of races between 1998 and ...

  5. May 20, 2024 · Starting with the final forecast of the model powering our 2020 election simulator, candidate and state probabilities will update in the tables below the map. Live Vote Totals: Select a state on the map. Results as of: May 20, 2024 7:30 AM EDT. Biden. 306. 232. Trump. 306. 232. ME 3 1. MI16. MT3. NV6. NY29. NC15. OH18. PA20. TN11. TX38. UT6. WA12.

  6. 3 days ago · Trump 41, Biden 41, Kennedy 9, Stein 1, West 1. Tie. General Election: Trump vs. Biden. Emerson. Trump 46, Biden 44. Trump +2. General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy vs. West vs. Stein ...

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