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May 11, 2024 · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...
Jun 28, 2018 · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency
How Trump's polls are changing post-conviction. 538’s Galen Druke breaks down recent polling for the 2024 presidential election following former President Donald Trump’s conviction.
6 days ago · Polls ending Dec. 4, 2022. U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022, Runoff. AVG. Dec. 3-5. 1,099. LV. Dec. 3-5. 1,099 LV. Trafalgar Group is a partisan pollster for the Republican Party.
Mar 10, 2023 · We analyzed virtually all polls conducted in the final 21 days 1 before every presidential, U.S. Senate, U.S. House and gubernatorial general election, and every presidential primary, since 1998...
Jun 18, 2020 · Our New Polling Averages Show Biden Leads Trump By 9 Points Nationally. But the race is closer in swing states, which could allow Trump to win the Electoral College if the race tightens. By Nate...
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
Jan 28, 2021 · How do we boil down dozens of approval-rating polls into a single number? It’s not a simple average! We use an empirically tested, weighted average that accounts for poll quality and...
4 days ago · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted...
Jun 24, 2024 · Biden Biden 44%. Trump Trump 46%. Ruth Igielnik Staff editor, polling. It will take a few days to truly understand the impact on the polls from Thursday night’s debate. Some people watched the ...
