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  1. Considering how many pollsters are finding both that a) voters/respondents are pretty apathetic and/or unenthusiastic about voting this year, b) that they dont particularly like either candidate, and c) that Trump is significantly overperforming with low propensity voters, I'm really confused why so many pollsters think that those low ...

  2. 6 days ago · Overall, we rate FiveThirtyEight (538) Left-Center Biased based on story selection that slightly favors the left but does not favor the progressive left. We also rate them High for factual reporting due to proper sourcing of information, a solid record with poll analysis, and a clean fact check record.

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  4. 1 day ago · Get the latest political polls and polling averages for the general presidential election from FiveThirtyEight.

  5. 1 day ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Holly Fuong, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. Statistical model by G. Elliott Morris.

  6. 1 day ago · Jan. 1, 2022 Jan. 1, 2023 Jan. 1, 2024 20 30 40 50 60 70 80% Disapprove 56.2% Approve 38.4% May 24, 2024 May 24, 2024 Disapprove Disapprove +17.7. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. In November 2023, we made changes to the way we calculate our polling averages. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date.

  7. May 14, 2024 · That helped make The Times/Siena Poll the most accurate political pollster in the country, according to the website FiveThirtyEight. At the same time, all polls face real-world limitations.

  8. May 5, 2024 · Trump and Biden are both polling just above 40 per cent, with Trump currently holding a slender edge of 0.8 percentage points, well within bounds of statistical error, according to FiveThirtyEight ...

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