Search results
1 day ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page. Read the full methodology here. Sort by date.
1 day ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.
1 day ago · Here's everything that goes into this year's brand-new model. For 2024, 538 built a new presidential election forecast model from the ground up. This article explains how we did it: the ...
20 hours ago · 2024 Electoral College Map 2024 Presidential Calendar 2024 Pundit Forecasts 2024 Polling Averages by State Most Recent General Election Polls 2024 Republican Primary ...
1 day ago · Latest 2024 Presidential General Election Polls. Election Polls ... Florida: Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy vs. West vs. Stein ... ABC News/Ipsos: Trump 42, Biden 42, Kennedy 12, Stein 1, West 2 ...
4 days ago · 34.0%. Biden. 9.0%. Kennedy. +10 Trump. + More Polls. The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot ...
May 15, 2024 · And according to 538's newly released polling averages, former President Donald Trump narrowly leads President Joe Biden, 41.2 percent to 40.5 percent, in national polls (as of Wednesday at 1:30 p ...
