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Jan 1, 2024 · 24 things we think will happen in 2024. From Trump to Tesla, how 2024 will shake out, according to the Future Perfect team. by Bryan Walsh, Dylan Matthews, Izzie Ramirez, Kenny Torrella, Sigal...
- Bryan Walsh
- There will be more of us. The U.S. population today, at the start of 2020, numbers just over 331 million people. The U.S. is the third largest country in the world, outnumbered only by the two demographic billionaires, China and India, at just over 1.4 billion and just under 1.4 billion, respectively.
- The population will get older. The U.S. is getting older and it’s going to keep getting older. Today, there are over 74.1 million people under age 18 in the U.S. There are 56.4 million people age 65 and older.
- Racial proportions will shift. In 2020, non-Hispanic white people, hereafter called whites, are still the majority race in the U.S., representing 59.7% of the U.S. population.
- Russia as We Know It May Not Survive The Coming Decade
- Expect A Chinese Military Offensive Against Taiwan
- US-Chinese Decoupling May Not Be as Dramatic as We Think It Will Be
- The United States Will Remain Powerful But Not Hegemonic
- Get Ready For Even Greater Global Volatility
- Democracies Will Face A Difficult Decade of Systemic Dangers
One of the most surprising takeaways was how many respondents pointed to a potential Russian collapse over the next decade—suggesting that the Kremlin’s war against Ukraine could precipitate hugely consequential upheaval in a great power with the largest nuclear-weapons arsenal on the planet. Nearly half (46 percent) of respondents expect Russia to...
Recently, US officials have been warningthat China could launch a military campaign to reunify Taiwan with the mainland on a faster-than-anticipated schedule between now and 2027. And our survey results support that dire assessment. Fully 70 percent of respondents agree—though just 12 percent strongly agree—that China will seek to forcibly retake T...
There has been a lot of talk about “decoupling,” or efforts to disentangle the US and Chinese economies. But the experts we surveyed delivered a clear verdict: Full-blown decoupling is very unlikely. Despite all the geopolitical tensions and tit-for-tat trade restrictions between the two countries, the most likely outcome (according to roughly 40 p...
Respondents generally expressed a belief in the United States’ staying power over the next ten years, though many envisioned a country preeminent in some domains of national clout but not others. Seven in ten foresee the United States continuing to be the world’s dominant military power by 2033—a notably high percentage given concerns about China’s...
One remarkable survey result is how many respondents expect the world to face additional economic and public-health perils in the coming decade. Seventy-six percent predict another global economic crisis on the scale of the 2008-2009 financial crisis by 2033. A further 19 percent say that there will be two or more such crises. Forty-nine percent fo...
Democracies are entering a dangerous decade in which they will need to contend with nationalist and populist forces and all the challenges associated with rapidly evolving technology. When asked which social movements they expected to have the most political influence worldwide over the next ten years, only 5 percent of respondents chose pro-democr...
Oct 12, 2023 · Looking at a Population Pyramid, the U.S. is in an excellent position now and toward 2050, especially compared to Europe, Russia, and East Asia. Where this could go wrong is if we Millennials...
- Conor Friedersdorf
People also ask
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Apr 8, 2021 · 8 April 2021. By Gordon Corera,Security correspondent. Pool/Getty Images. The US Intelligence Community has issued a survey of where the world may end up in 2040. It warns of a political...
May 14, 2021 · It’s 2050. A climate change worst case scenario has come to pass. The air is polluted, making you cough. You have to check the air quality before even opening a window. When you do go outside, your...
Dec. 11, 2020. How was a microscopic virus able to bring the world’s richest and most powerful country to its knees? Americans might have expected that their country would marshal its tremendous...
