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May 12, 2021 · Updating your priors requires flexibility, an open mind and a willingness to revise beliefs as evidence warrants. It argues against making judgments that are immovable. Now when I learn more about an issue or a person that makes me feel as if I should change my mind, I say “Update your priors!”
- Debbie Duncan
Aug 9, 2015 · In plain english, update a prior in bayesian inference means that you start with some guesses about the probability of an event occuring (prior probability), then you observe what happens (likelihood), and depending on what happened you update your initial guess.
Put simply, using the theorem builds on prior knowledge of the problem domain to update a prediction. This became very popular because, in the real world, there is much uncertainty and Bayes Theorem provides a way of modeling that uncertainty through probability (e.g. machine learning).
Aug 4, 2020 · There is a statistician’s rejoinder — sometimes offered as wry criticism, sometimes as honest advice — that could hardly be a better motto for our times: “Update your priors!” In stats lingo,...
- Siobhan Roberts
Jun 2, 2022 · To learn, we must fight back against complacency and oust our inner dictator — we can do so by updating our priors. How to Update Your Priors: Prioritize values over beliefs. You are not your beliefs. By entangling your identity and beliefs, you create a mental prison that prevents you from intellectually engaging beyond the existing walls.
Updating your priors requires flexibility, an open mind, and a willingness to revise beliefs as evidence warrants. It argues against making judgments that are immovable. Now when I learn more about an issue or a person that makes me feel as if I should change my mind, I say “Update your priors!”.
Nov 1, 2023 · Update Your Priors: Directed by Stacie Passon. With Jennifer Aniston, Reese Witherspoon, Billy Crudup, Mark Duplass. A line is drawn as Alex and Bradley are forced to choose sides. Cory scrambles for stable ground.
