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2 days ago · Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted...
- Florida
Florida - U.S. Senate Polls | FiveThirtyEight
- Iowa
Iowa - U.S. Senate Polls | FiveThirtyEight
- Utah
Utah - U.S. Senate Polls | FiveThirtyEight
- Pollster Ratings
538’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the...
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Jun 11, 2024 · Who Is Favored To Win The 2024 Presidential Election? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Trump wins 51 times out of 100. in our simulations...
- G. Elliott Morris
538 uses statistical analysis — hard numbers — to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, economics, and American society.
Feb 22, 2024 · 538’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodological transparency of each polling organization’s polls. We define accuracy as the average adjusted...
Rank IPollster I538 Rating IPollscore I1The New York Times/ Siena College3.0-1.52ABC News/ The Washington Post3.0-1.13Marquette University Law School3.0-1.04YouGov2.9-1.1Jun 11, 2024 · Right now, Trump leads Biden in most polls of the swing states that will decide the election, but the “fundamentals” favor Biden.
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Jun 18, 2020 · ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT. Today we launched our general election polling averages, nationally and for all states with a sufficient number of polls. Recent polls show former Vice...