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1. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › pollster-ratingsPollster Ratings | FiveThirtyEight

   projects.fivethirtyeight.com › pollster-ratings

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   Feb 22, 2024 · How this works. 538’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodological transparency of each polling organization’s polls. We define accuracy as the...

   • Latest Polls | FiveThirtyEight

     The latest political polls and polling averages from...

   • The Death Of Polling Is Greatly Exaggerated | FiveThirtyEight

     So in a year when most polls underestimated Trump and...

2. fivethirtyeight.com › features › 2022-electionThe Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com › features › 2022-election

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   Mar 10, 2023 · Trafalgar Group: 37: 5.3: 62: R+4.9: InsiderAdvantage: 29: 5.3: 67: R+3.8: Patriot Polling: 7: 5.5: 71: R+5.5: Phillips Academy: 7: 5.5: 57: R+3.5: Wick: 9: 5.7: 56: R+4.6: co/efficient: 15:...

   • Author: Nathaniel Rakich

3. People also ask

   Does Trafalgar group conduct presidential polls?

   • In presidential polling, Trafalgar Group only conducts state-level polls; according to Cahaly, "we don't do national polls, and that's for the same reason I don't keep up with hits in a baseball game: It's an irrelevant statistic". Before the 2020 election, FiveThirtyEight gave Trafalgar a grade of C−.

   Trafalgar Group - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trafalgar_Group

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   How accurate were Trafalgar's polls in 2022?

   • Trafalgar’s polls were quite accurate in 2020, when its Republican-leaning house effects helped it avoid the big polling miss that other firms experienced. As a result, it went into 2022 with an A- pollster rating.

   The Polls Were Historically Accurate In 2022 | FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com/features/2022-election-polling-accuracy/

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   Did Trafalgar predict the 2016 presidential election?

   • It first publicly released polls in 2016. Notably, Trafalgar successfully predicted the result of the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Although they incorrectly predicted the result of the 2020 U.S. presidential election for Trump in several states, their state polling margins were considered as some of the most accurate that cycle.

   Trafalgar Group - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trafalgar_Group

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   What grade is Trafalgar in 2023?

   • Before the 2020 election, FiveThirtyEight gave Trafalgar a grade of C−. Afterwards, until March 2023, FiveThirtyEight had Trafalgar at a grade of A−. As of March 9th 2023, FiveThirtyEight has Trafalgar at a grade of B.

   Trafalgar Group - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trafalgar_Group

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4. en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Trafalgar_GroupTrafalgar Group - Wikipedia

   en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Trafalgar_Group

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   Performance and accuracy. Before the 2020 election, FiveThirtyEight gave Trafalgar a grade of C−. Afterwards, until March 2023, FiveThirtyEight had Trafalgar at a grade of A−. As of March 9th 2023, FiveThirtyEight has Trafalgar at a grade of B. 2016 US presidential election

5. www.thetrafalgargroup.org › wp-content › uploads2024 Matchup - Trafalgar Group

   www.thetrafalgargroup.org › wp-content › uploads

   • Response Rate: 1.45% • Margin of Error: 2.9% • Confidence: 95% • Response Distribution: 50% • Methodology: TheTrafalgarGroup.org/Polling-Methodology. Biden/Trump 2024. If the 2024 presidential election were held today and Joe Biden and Donald Trump were your choices, for whom would you vote? Biden/Trump 2024 (Democrat)

6. fivethirtyeight.com › features › which-pollsters-toWhich Pollsters To Trust In 2018 | FiveThirtyEight

   fivethirtyeight.com › features › which-pollsters-to

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   May 31, 2018 · Polling institutes run by colleges and universities are somewhat overrepresented among the high performers on the list and have generally become a crucial source of polling as other high-quality ...

7. www.cbsnews.com › news › pollster-robert-cahaly-onPollster Robert Cahaly on accuracy in political polling ...

   www.cbsnews.com › news › pollster-robert-cahaly-on

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   Dec 17, 2021 · Cahaly, who founded the opinion polling firm Trafalgar Group, received an A-minus grade from FiveThirtyEight's Pollster Rankings and accurately predicted former President Trump's victory in...