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  1. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Create a specific match-up by clicking the party and/or names near the electoral vote counter.

  2. 2024 Presidential Election Polls. This page displays the current 270toWin Polling Average for each state. Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. The default view is Harris vs. Trump head-to-head.

  3. The current electoral college ratings for the 2024 presidential election from Cook Political Report. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2024 presidential election forecast. July 9: Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada move from Toss-up to Leans Republican; Minnesota, NE-02, and New Hampshire move from Likely to Leans Democratic.

  4. The simulator is largely based on a data-driven presidential model created by JHK forecasts. Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2024 presidential election. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times.

  5. 3 days ago · July 28, 2024, 6:55 AM ET. Sunday, July 28 marks 100 days until the November 5 presidential election. Interest in the election - at least in terms of visits to 270toWin - has picked up significantly since the debate in late June, and has accelerated since President Biden's subsequent withdrawal from the race last Sunday.

  6. It takes at least 270 electoral votes to win the presidency. Plot each candidate’s best path to victory on our interactive map below. Build your map. Build your projection using past results, or...

  7. Jan 30, 2024 · Texas 2024 Presidential Election Polls - 270toWin. Instantly compare a poll to prior one by same pollster. Harris vs. Trump. Including Third Parties and Independents. A separate average calculation for the subset of polls that have a question that names one or more notable candidates in addition to Harris and Trump.

  8. 2 days ago · We’re tracking polls that include Vice President Kamala Harris, the likely Democratic presidential nominee, and former President Donald J. Trump.

  9. 3 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

  10. Jun 11, 2024 · There is a 26-in-100 chance that Biden wins the Electoral College with <350 electoral votes. See a new scenario. 538’s forecast is based on a combination of polls and campaign “fundamentals,”...

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