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This product is based on the OVATION model and provides a 30 to 90 minute forecast of the location and intensity of the aurora. The forecast lead time is the time it takes for the solar wind to travel from the L1 observation point to Earth.
The two maps show the aurora and viewline tonight and tomorrow night. The brightness and location of the aurora is typically shown as a green oval centered on Earth’s magnetic pole. The green ovals turn red when the aurora is forecasted to be more intense.
This page provides a prediction of the aurora’s visibility tonight and tomorrow night in the charts below. The animations further down show what the aurora’s been up to over the last 24 hours and estimates what the next 30 minutes will be like.
Real-time auroral and solar activity. 18:35:56 UTC. Aurora forecast Help. Probability forecast. Kp-index forecast. Predicted Kp-indices. Below you'll find the expected global geomagnetic conditions (Kp) and those for the middle and high latitudes (K-indices).
2 days ago · Aurora borealis activity is currently moderately low. Weather permitting, northern lights displays could be visible directly overhead in some northern communities and visible toward the northern horizon from slightly lower northern latitudes.
20 hours ago · The aurora forecast is updated daily at midnight UTC. Forecast: Auroral activity will be active. Weather permitting, active auroral displays will be visible overhead from Utqiaġvik to Anchorage and Juneau, and visible low on the horizon from King Salmon and Prince Rupert.
Kp Index Forecast - Next Few Hours (Projected)
The OVATION Aurora Forecast Model shows the intensity and location of the aurora predicted for the time shown at the top of the map. This probability forecast is based on current solar wind conditions measured at L1, but using a fixed 30-minute delay time between L1 and Earth.
SpaceWeatherLive.com is a near live website where you can follow space weather from the Sun to Earth and know exactly when you can see aurora. More info...
Aurora Borealis season in northern polar latitudes (Alaska, northern Canada, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Finland and Siberia) runs from August-thru-April. These are the nights with darkness in them.
