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Apr 5, 2024 · Republicans have a decent shot at flipping these Senate seats, but it’s nowhere near as strong as their chances of winning the first three states on the list.
- Jason Lemon
- Arizona. One big factor that remains up in the air for the Arizona race is whether the incumbent, Sinema, plans to seek reelection. During her past Senate term, Sinema has become known as a bipartisan negotiator, but alienated many Democrats by helping to block several policy priorities of President Joe Biden's administration.
- Montana. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester may be facing an uphill battle in deep-red Montana. Former President Donald Trump beat Biden by more than 16 points in the western state in 2020.
- Ohio. Similar to Tester, incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is running in a state that has become red in recent elections. Trump defeated Biden in Ohio by about 8 points in 2020.
- Pennsylvania. Democrats chances of holding their Senate seat in Pennsylvania appear somewhat more secure, as Cook Political Report rates the race "lean Democrat."
Jan 1, 2024 · The Republican front-runner for the Senate seat in Arizona is an ardent election denier. Only in Pennsylvania has the GOP avoided an internecine battle, allowing its candidate to already go...
- Simone Pathe
- 1 min
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1 day ago · Download the data. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential...
4 days ago · Overview and Live Results: Indiana Primary. May 7, 2024. Four competitive GOP primaries in deep red U.S. House seats will likely provide the most election day suspense. Live Results: Texas State Senate Special, Lubbock Mayor. May 4, 2024. The lone Senate vacancy will be filled, while voters in the nation's 85th largest city will choose a mayor.
Oct 22, 2023 · The 2024 Senate map is advantageous for Republicans as they try to pick up the one or two seats needed to flip the chamber, depending on who wins the White House next year.