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    • Jason Lemon
    • Arizona. One big factor that remains up in the air for the Arizona race is whether the incumbent, Sinema, plans to seek reelection. During her past Senate term, Sinema has become known as a bipartisan negotiator, but alienated many Democrats by helping to block several policy priorities of President Joe Biden's administration.
    • Montana. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester may be facing an uphill battle in deep-red Montana. Former President Donald Trump beat Biden by more than 16 points in the western state in 2020.
    • Ohio. Similar to Tester, incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is running in a state that has become red in recent elections. Trump defeated Biden in Ohio by about 8 points in 2020.
    • Pennsylvania. Democrats chances of holding their Senate seat in Pennsylvania appear somewhat more secure, as Cook Political Report rates the race "lean Democrat."
  1. Republican Dave McCormick – whose campaign announced raising $6.2 million in the first quarter, including $1 million in self-funding – has effectively been in a general election matchup ...

  2. 4 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national...

  3. 1 day ago · Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat. This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters .

  4. 1 day ago · Joe Biden received 95%, winning all 23 pledged delegates. The most recent polls for the 34 Senate races contested during the 2024 elections. Includes links to all 2024 Senate polls and polling averages by state.

  5. Apr 30, 2023 · National Republicans got a top pick in late April, with Gov. Jim Justice announcing his Senate bid in West Virginia – the seat most likely to flip party control in 2024. (Rankings are based...

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  7. Dec 7, 2022 · Democrats have more than twice as many Senate seats to defend in 2024 as Republicans, an imbalance that gives the GOP a clear path to capturing the Senate — even if the Georgia result has given...

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