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    • Jason Lemon
    • Arizona. One big factor that remains up in the air for the Arizona race is whether the incumbent, Sinema, plans to seek reelection. During her past Senate term, Sinema has become known as a bipartisan negotiator, but alienated many Democrats by helping to block several policy priorities of President Joe Biden's administration.
    • Montana. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester may be facing an uphill battle in deep-red Montana. Former President Donald Trump beat Biden by more than 16 points in the western state in 2020.
    • Ohio. Similar to Tester, incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is running in a state that has become red in recent elections. Trump defeated Biden in Ohio by about 8 points in 2020.
    • Pennsylvania. Democrats chances of holding their Senate seat in Pennsylvania appear somewhat more secure, as Cook Political Report rates the race "lean Democrat."
  1. 3 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national...

  2. Jun 19, 2024 · Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat. This map is a composite of ratings by several forecasters .

  3. Jun 24, 2024 · National polling average. `` `` June July 30% 40% 50%. Biden Biden 44%. Trump Trump 46%. Ruth Igielnik Staff editor, polling. It will take a few days to truly understand the impact on the polls ...

  4. 4 days ago · The most recent polls for the 34 Senate elections taking place in 2024. Select any location to view all polls and a polling average (where available) for that state. For direct links to Senate polling detail in each state, see this map.

  5. With 34 Senate seats up for election in 2024 and a slim majority held by Democrats, stay up to date here on the battle for control of the Senate.

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  7. Apr 30, 2023 · National Republicans got a top pick in late April, with Gov. Jim Justice announcing his Senate bid in West Virginia – the seat most likely to flip party control in 2024. (Rankings are...

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