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    • Jason Lemon
    • Arizona. One big factor that remains up in the air for the Arizona race is whether the incumbent, Sinema, plans to seek reelection. During her past Senate term, Sinema has become known as a bipartisan negotiator, but alienated many Democrats by helping to block several policy priorities of President Joe Biden's administration.
    • Montana. Incumbent Democratic Senator Jon Tester may be facing an uphill battle in deep-red Montana. Former President Donald Trump beat Biden by more than 16 points in the western state in 2020.
    • Ohio. Similar to Tester, incumbent Democratic Senator Sherrod Brown is running in a state that has become red in recent elections. Trump defeated Biden in Ohio by about 8 points in 2020.
    • Pennsylvania. Democrats chances of holding their Senate seat in Pennsylvania appear somewhat more secure, as Cook Political Report rates the race "lean Democrat."
  1. Apr 5, 2024 · Republicans get a win this month, however, with the biggest shake-up to the list. Maryland makes an appearance for the first time, sliding in just above Texas. That means nine of the top 10...

    • Simone Pathe
  2. Republicans can retake control with a net gain of two seats or by winning the 2024 presidential election along with a net gain of one seat. This 3-part Senate map lets you view the current Senate, make a forecast for the 2024 Senate elections, and see the composition of the 2025 Senate based on those predictions.

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  4. The most recent polls for the 34 Senate races contested during the 2024 elections. Includes links to all 2024 Senate polls and polling averages by state.

  5. 2 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national...

  6. Jan 11, 2024 · Republicans need just one or two seats to reclaim the majority — depending on which party wins the White House. Sen. Joe Manchin’s retirement almost certainly puts West Virginia in the GOP’s...

  7. 4 days ago · Poll Results Spread; Ohio Senate - Republican Primary: Emerson: Moreno 44, Dolan 40, LaRose 16: Moreno +4

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