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1. projects.fivethirtyeight.com › 2020-swing-statesHow The 2020 Election Changed The Electoral Map | FiveThirtyEight

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   Dec 8, 2020 · After comfortably backing then-GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney by 9 points in 2012, Arizona shifted more than 5 points toward the Democrats in 2016 and then another 4 points in 2020 to hand Biden a slim 0.3-point win. Similarly, Georgia went for Romney by 8 points in 2012, but then shifted about 3 points toward Democrats in 2016 before ...

2. www.cookpolitical.com › analysis › nationalWhat the New Swing-State Polling Reveals | Cook Political Report

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   Nov 9, 2023 · That is beginning to change. On Sunday, The New York Times and Siena College released a set of polls in the six swing states that Biden carried by the narrowest of margins in 2020. The surveys found the incumbent trailing in five of the six—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania—while leading in Wisconsin by a mere 2 points.

3. People also ask

   What percentage of swing voters voted for a different party?

   • However, some political scientists, like Corwin Smidt, who studies vote choice at Michigan State, argue that the percentage of swing voters is, in fact, much lower and in decline — he estimated just 6 percent of all Americans voted for a different party in 2016 than the one they backed in 2012.

   Just How Many Swing Voters Are There? | FiveThirtyEight

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   Will KFF have more swing voters in 2020?

   • So while not all 30 percent of the registered voters who KFF grouped into its “swing voters” category are actually open to being convinced by a good campaign, its polling does suggest that if turnout increases in 2020, there could be more swing voters than in 2016, since some of them spent the last presidential election cycle on the sidelines.

   Just How Many Swing Voters Are There? | FiveThirtyEight

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   Will New Jersey win a gubernatorial election in 2021?

   • The general election will be Nov. 2. The only other state with a regularly scheduled gubernatorial election in 2021 is New Jersey, a race Democrats should win easily.

   All The Elections To Watch In 2021 | FiveThirtyEight

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   Which state has a regular gubernatorial election in 2021?

   • The only other state with a regularly scheduled gubernatorial election in 2021 is New Jersey, a race Democrats should win easily. Biden won New Jersey by 16 points, and Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy (who is running for reelection) has a 59 percent to 36 percent approval/disapproval rating, per a recent Stockton University poll .

   All The Elections To Watch In 2021 | FiveThirtyEight

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4. www.nytimes.com › 2021/11/09 › briefingWhat Moves Swing Voters - The New York Times

   www.nytimes.com › 2021/11/09 › briefing

   Nov 9, 2021 · Nov. 9, 2021. Political pundits often talk about swing voters as if they were upscale suburbanites, like “soccer moms” or “office-park dads.”. And some are. But many are blue-collar. They ...

5. www.statista.com › chart › 23434Chart: How The Swing States Swung | Statista

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   Nov 9, 2020 · This chart shows the results of the 2020 U.S. presidential election in swing/battleground states.

6. fivethirtyeight.com › features › just-how-many-swingJust How Many Swing Voters Are There? | FiveThirtyEight

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   But estimates I previously made based on a couple of data sets suggest that there were around 10 million voters who shifted from voting for one major party in 2012 to the other in 2016, which ...

7. fivethirtyeight.com › features › all-the-electionsAll The Elections To Watch In 2021 | FiveThirtyEight

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   Apr 6, 2021 · The general election will be Nov. 2. The only other state with a regularly scheduled gubernatorial election in 2021 is New Jersey, a race Democrats should win easily. Biden won New Jersey by 16 ...

8. blogs.lse.ac.uk › usappblog › 2021/09/02What Happened?: The 2020 election confirmed that Ohio is no ...

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   Sep 2, 2021 · Figure 6 – Party lean of Ohio counties, 2000-2020. And Figure 7 shows the swing in Ohio county vote share between 2008 and 2020: Figure 7 – Ohio county vote share change, 2008-2020. To illustrate the Democratic dilemma in Ohio, consider two counties, one trending Democratic, and the other trending Republican: Stark and Delaware counties.