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Mar 27, 2013 · Existential risk is a concept that can focus long-term global efforts and sustainability concerns. • The biggest existential risks are anthropogenic and related to potential future technologies. • A moral case can be made that existential risk reduction is strictly more important than any other global public good. •
Cognitive biases potentially affecting judgment of global risks Forthcoming in Global Catastrophic Risks, eds. Nick Bostrom and Milan Cirkovic Draft of August 31, 2006. Eliezer Yudkowsky ...
Biases implicit in the availability heuristic affect estimates of risk. A pioneering study by Lichtenstein et. al. (1978) examined absolute and relative probability judgments of risk. People know in general terms which risks cause large numbers of deaths and which cause few deaths.
Even when cognitive warfare has been widely covered by the different miliary doctrines since early times, its implications in modern warfare scenarios are constantly evolving so that requiring a context-aware analysis as the main driver to underpin possible countermeasures from the governmental and political perspectives, as presented in this work.
Aug 9, 2023 · Even when cognitive warfare has been widely covered by the different miliary doctrines since early times, its implications in modern warfare scenarios are constantly evolving so that requiring a context-aware analysis as the main driver to underpin possible countermeasures from the governmental and political perspectives, as presented in this work.
Here I demonstrate that there are more than hundred cognitive biases affecting judgment of global risks. The sheer number of them demonstrates that is very difficult to come to unequivocal conclusion about the types and probabilities of global risks,
The goals and methods of these governments were so extreme that they were often described – by friend and foe alike – as ‘total’ or ‘totalitarian’ (Gregor, 2000). The connection between totalitarian goals and totalitarian methods is straightforward. People do not want to radically change their behaviour. To make them change requires ...
