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1 day ago · 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing Democrat Kamala Harris’s and Republican Donald Trump’s chances of winning.
1 day ago · Nathaniel Read Silver (born January 13, 1978) is an American statistician, writer, and poker player who analyzes baseball, basketball, and elections. He is the founder of FiveThirtyEight, and held the position of editor-in-chief there, along with being a special correspondent for ABC News, until May 2023. [ 2]
2 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which...
20 hours ago · National : President: general election : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight. See the previously published polling average for this race before President Joe Biden suspended his campaign. UPDATED Aug....
1 day ago · Polling misses are based on averages published by The New York Times in 2012, 2016 and 2020, and on FiveThirtyEight’s 2022 midterm averages in each state’s Senate or governor’s race.
20 hours ago · National aggregate polling averages show Kamala Harris gaining on Donald Trump after Joe Biden dropped out on July 20. In US Presidential elections, national polls are merely indicators, because...
1 day ago · What’s changed: Vice President Kamala Harris’s lead in the Midwest continues to solidify, and while Donald Trump still leads in the Sunbelt, his margins in Nevada, Arizona and North Carolina have...
