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2 days ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ESTIMATE. 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE. Polling averages are adjusted based on state and national polls, which means candidates’ averages can shift even if no new polls have been added to this page.
Where that is not applicable, the most recent 2024 presidential election poll is used. The average methodology is summarized below the table. Use the sort to view the polls in different ways. Select a state name to see its presidential voting history. Select the link below each chart to see all the polling detail for that state.
1 day ago · In 2016 and 2020, the polls underestimated Trump. But in 2012 they underestimated the Democratic candidate, Barack Obama, and in 2022 Democrats outperformed polling averages in several key midterm ...
3 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .
3 days ago · The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED Jul. 21, 2024, at 11:41 AM. Latest Polls. ... Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. KEY. ESTIMATE.
3 days ago · How the national polls have changed since January. The presidential election isn’t decided by the national popular vote, which is why we rely heavily on state polls in our polling averages.
1 day ago · In NBC News’ latest national poll, conducted more than a week after Biden’s dismal debate performance but before the assassination attempt on Trump, both the president and Harris trailed Trump ...
2 days ago · In an AP-NORC poll conducted between July 11 and July 15, nearly two-thirds of Democrats said they wanted the president to withdraw and allow the party to select a different candidate. On Sunday ...
1 day ago · Even though President Biden has endorsed Vice President Harris to replace him at the top of the ticket, recent polls find little difference between how she and Biden stack up against Donald Trump ...
Explore comprehensive coverage of 2024 presidential general and primary election latest polls. Stay informed on the latest trends and insights shaping the election.
