Search results
Mar 12, 2023 · See the probabilities of each team winning the men's and women's NCAA Tournament, based on statistical models by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. Download the forecast data and explore the bracket table, storylines and excitement index.
- How This Works
Version History. 1.4 Added women’s Elo model and started...
- How Our March Madness Predictions Work
March Madness Predictions: FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and...
- 2022 March Madness Predictions
FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament...
- 2021 March Madness Predictions
FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament...
- How This Works
- Seeded For An Upset
- 3-Point Shot An Equalizer
- Stanford’s Post D The Blueprint Against South Carolina
- GeneratedCaptionsTabForHeroSec
FiveThirtyEight’s model gives the No. 10 seed Utah State Aggies (26-8) the best chance of a first-round victory of any underdog in the tournament (64 percent) — and that could be because they’re simply a better team than their opponent, the No. 7 seed Missouri Tigers (24-9). According to Bart-Torvik.com’s power ratings, the Aggies are the 25th-stro...
There are a number of lesser-seeded teams that hitch their wagons to the star of the deep bomb. This has long been a viable strategy. In 2019, for example, the No. 5 seed Auburn Tigers (30-10) were the worst seed to reach the Final Four. FiveThirtyEight’s model gave them an 11 percent chance to play so deep in the tournament. Three-pointers made up...
We’ve laid out the dominance of the South Carolina Gamecocks (32-0) before, and FiveThirtyEight’s tournament model unsurprisingly adores South Carolina. On the women’s side, this season is the first since 2018 in which the model features a team with pre-tournament odds over 50 percent of winning the championship. (The model has never had such an ev...
How could seeding, shooting and post play affect the men's and women's NCAA Tournament? Read the analysis and predictions from FiveThirtyEight's experts.
- Louis Zatzman
See the simulated results of the men's and women's NCAA Tournaments based on ESPN's Bracketology seeds and power ratings. Find out the champions, the round-by-round probabilities, and the forecast data for each team.
Mar 21, 2023 · The 2023 men's NCAA Tournament had some high-profile upsets, but overall, it was the fifth-lowest in seeding upsets and the fourth-least \"mad\" tournament since 2002. See the data and analysis on how the early rounds compared to previous years.
People also ask
Did a 16 seed beat a 1 in March Madness?
Is March Madness the final component of college basketball season?
Is March Madness the best part of college basketball?
