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Jun 21, 2022 · Between 1964 and 2020, turnout among black voters in U.S. presidential elections fluctuated between 48 and 62 percent, with the highest turnouts coming in 2008 and 2012, when Barack Obama...
- Overall Turnout in 2022 Out Was High, But with Unexpected Shifts
- Long-Term Demographic Trends Drove Turnout Changes in 2022
- Turnout Changes in 2022 Varied Across States
- Focusing on Turnout and Voter Shifts in Battleground States
- What These Turnout Patterns Mean For Future Elections
The national election rate (actual voters per 100 eligible voters) in 2022 was 52.2%—the second-highest that the Census Bureau has recorded for a midterm in four decades. The highest was in 2018, at 53.4%. (The 2020 presidential election, meanwhile, recorded a very high rate of 66.3%.) This, along with the fact that the 2022 midterms also saw the h...
The new Census Bureau statistics also permit an examination of the demographics of the voter population and shifts in that population over time (download Table B). The makeup of the voter population depends on both the underlying demographics of eligible voters (citizens age 18 and older) and the degree to which different demographic groups turn ou...
The national turnout rate decline between 2018 and 2022 does not apply to all states. Because 2022 was a midterm election, some state elections for senators, governors, House members, and other local positions as well as ballot initiatives may lead to sharp rises in voter interest and, therefore, turnout. Moreover, organizations such as the Brennan...
To get a better sense of how states varied in turnout for select Democratic- or Republican-leaning demographic groups, it is useful to focus on “battleground” states with visible statewide elections in 2022. The first focus will be on three northern battlegrounds: Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Ohio (see Figure 5 and downloadable Table E). Democrats h...
This analysis of new Census Bureau voting data makes two insights clear. First, national voting turnout is on the rise—well above the low turnout levels of 2014 and earlier. And even if midterm voting turnout took a slight dip between 2018 and 2022, national voting levels and those of most demographic groups did not sink to levels seen in 2014 or e...
Oct 8, 2021 · Turnout rates in 2020 were higher than in the 2016 election for non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, non-Hispanic Asian, and Hispanic race and origin groups. The largest increase was for non-Hispanic Asians (Figure 2).
Jan 20, 2022 · According to an analysis of Census Bureau data by Michael McDonald, a voter turnout expert at the University of Florida, Black Americans have almost always voted at lower rates than white...
Sep 25, 2020 · Gallup's aggregated data from polls conducted July 30-Aug. 12 and Aug. 31-Sept. 13 show Trump approval -- a rough surrogate for likelihood to vote for Trump -- at 11% among Black Americans, with...
Mar 2, 2024 · Between the 2018 and 2022 midterm elections alone, the turnout gap grew by 5 percentage points between white voters and nonwhite voters, and it grew by 8 points between white voters and...
Oct 18, 2022 · Overview. Findings. Methodology. Endnotes. Introduction. The Survey of Black Voters, the first under a new partnership between KFF and theGrio, examines the mood and opinions of an important...
